Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas San Antonio
Southland
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#171
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#184
Pace70.3#102
Improvement-4.1#311

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#148
Improvement-4.5#334

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#205
Improvement+0.4#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 131   @ UTEP W 73-64 28%     1 - 0 +14.9 +6.8 +8.3
  Nov 15, 2011 87   Oral Roberts W 78-77 28%     2 - 0 +6.7 +7.5 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2011 90   @ Oklahoma St. L 85-90 OT 19%     2 - 1 +3.8 +3.7 +0.9
  Nov 21, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. L 75-85 16%     2 - 2 +0.2 +5.7 -5.8
  Nov 22, 2011 177   Fresno St. W 83-79 52%     3 - 2 +3.3 +6.5 -3.4
  Nov 26, 2011 287   Pepperdine L 64-70 OT 84%     3 - 3 -16.8 -16.2 -0.2
  Nov 30, 2011 263   @ San Jose St. L 66-72 59%     3 - 4 -8.6 -13.9 +5.6
  Dec 05, 2011 279   @ Samford W 74-52 62%     4 - 4 +18.5 +5.3 +15.9
  Dec 20, 2011 182   @ Houston L 75-77 39%     4 - 5 +0.5 -2.1 +2.7
  Dec 22, 2011 267   @ Troy W 76-70 60%     5 - 5 +3.2 +3.8 +0.0
  Dec 28, 2011 268   UC Riverside L 65-70 81%     5 - 6 -14.6 -4.6 -10.2
  Jan 01, 2012 126   Bowling Green W 86-79 OT 51%     6 - 6 +6.4 +0.6 +4.7
  Jan 04, 2012 326   Nicholls St. W 91-50 92%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +25.0 +0.3 +22.2
  Jan 08, 2012 270   @ Sam Houston St. W 62-60 60%     8 - 6 2 - 0 -0.8 -1.4 +0.8
  Jan 11, 2012 306   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 49-50 88%     8 - 7 2 - 1 -14.3 -19.3 +4.9
  Jan 14, 2012 161   @ Stephen F. Austin W 59-52 34%     9 - 7 3 - 1 +10.9 +3.7 +8.5
  Jan 18, 2012 226   Northwestern St. W 80-62 73%     10 - 7 4 - 1 +11.2 +6.9 +4.5
  Jan 21, 2012 259   @ Texas St. W 80-75 58%     11 - 7 5 - 1 +2.6 -1.5 +3.8
  Jan 28, 2012 270   Sam Houston St. W 78-66 81%     12 - 7 6 - 1 +2.4 +4.3 -2.1
  Feb 01, 2012 108   @ Texas Arlington L 66-67 23%     12 - 8 6 - 2 +6.5 -8.0 +14.6
  Feb 04, 2012 102   @ Lamar L 66-80 21%     12 - 9 6 - 3 -5.9 -4.4 -1.3
  Feb 08, 2012 297   SE Louisiana W 59-51 86%     13 - 9 7 - 3 -4.0 -12.6 +8.7
  Feb 11, 2012 161   Stephen F. Austin L 51-59 60%     13 - 10 7 - 4 -10.9 -9.4 -3.0
  Feb 15, 2012 209   @ McNeese St. L 54-58 45%     13 - 11 7 - 5 -3.0 -12.4 +8.9
  Feb 18, 2012 98   @ Georgia St. L 71-82 21%     13 - 12 -2.6 +9.5 -12.7
  Feb 22, 2012 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 86-82 OT 73%     14 - 12 8 - 5 -2.5 +6.4 -9.2
  Feb 25, 2012 259   Texas St. L 52-66 80%     14 - 13 8 - 6 -23.2 -24.3 +0.5
  Feb 29, 2012 324   @ Central Arkansas W 73-60 80%     15 - 13 9 - 6 +3.9 -5.7 +9.3
  Mar 03, 2012 108   Texas Arlington W 97-88 46%     16 - 13 10 - 6 +9.7 +11.9 -3.4
  Mar 07, 2012 209   McNeese St. L 74-78 OT 58%     16 - 14 -6.4 -5.6 -0.6
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%